Substrate

A digital garden of notes, ideas, and reflections from Doug Belshaw.

Back to the surface

July 2026

67 notes
reflections updated 1 min read

Eyes on the prize

AI summary

Doug highlights a quote from Marcus Aurelius' Meditations, emphasising that tranquillity can be found anywhere, much like Plato's notion of inner peace within city walls. The accompanying image depicts two people reading books comfortably, reinforcing the idea of finding serenity in simple activities.

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notes updated 2 min read

Actually, it isn't what it is

AI summary

Doug explores the decline of ambiguity in society, driven by a desire for clarity and action. He highlights the concept of 'New Literalism', a cultural shift towards superficiality and disengagement from complex ideas, as exemplified by museums retreating from controversial topics. Doug argues that institutions should embrace ambiguity and foster media literacy to help communities navigate complex issues.

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notes 3 min read

Need for cognition

AI summary

Doug summarises David Brooks' article from The Atlantic, which explores how AI usage varies based on individuals' predispositions, or their need for cognition. Brooks proposes a typology of users: Productive Passengers (low need for cognition), Reluctant Optimizers (medium need), and Mental Marathoners (high need), with Doug noting Brooks' concern about a potential "mental underclass" but finding the typology somewhat oversimplified.

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notes updated 2 min read

Toward a spectrum of AI trust

AI summary

Doug appreciates this post for its nuanced perspective on AI trust. He highlights that the importance of AI's role varies greatly depending on the context, from significantly altering our interpretation of creative works to being largely inconsequential in everyday transactions. Doug shares his personal experiences using AI tools, demonstrating their integral role in his workflows and creative projects.

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ideas updated 1 min read

Garmin Music Manager (unofficial)

AI summary

Doug developed an unofficial macOS app, Garmin Music Manager, to simplify music management on Garmin watches, bypassing the need for Garmin Express or Apple Music. The app offers drag-and-drop functionality, playlist management, and works independently of other software.

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notes updated 9 min read

News Canary: 5 July 2026

AI summary

Doug's News Canary for 5 July 2026 is a weekly compilation of global change signals, blending hard developments and soft cultural shifts from each continent. It highlights key stories such as China's ethnic unity law, Venezuela's earthquakes, Peru's presidential election, and various geopolitical and environmental issues, all curated with a focus on scale, impact, and future potential.

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notes updated 1 min read

Literary Clock using an old Kindle

The great thing about LLMs is that I can point them at blog posts like this one explaining how to jailbreak an old Kindle and turn it into a 'literary clock', then tell them to crack on. With a bit of guidance and troubleshooting they can do stuff that either I would never get round to, or I'd get frustrated by.

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notes updated 1 min read

FIELD STATION is now a officially A Thing

AI summary

Doug has officially launched his new venture, FIELD STATION, along with Tom Watson. The company has been incorporated at Companies House and is now operational, with Doug currently setting up bank accounts and accounting software. He is eager to find clients and encourages interested parties to get in touch.

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ideas updated 1 min read

Using AI to predict the outcome of World Cup games

AI summary

Doug explores the use of AI models to predict World Cup 2026 game outcomes, comparing them to FIFA rankings and human predictions. He notes that while some models show slightly higher accuracy, the differences are not statistically significant, with results ranging from 56% to 65% correct outcomes. The analysis includes a breakdown of performance for various AI models and a human predictor.

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notes updated 1 min read

We can't spend the rest of our lives asking if it's AI or not

AI summary

Doug argues that the focus should not be on whether something is AI or not, but rather on the practical outcomes it produces. He criticises those who fetishise human creativity and misunderstand the role of tools as amplifiers, not causal agents. Doug chooses to live his values and evaluate the difference AI makes in practice, rather than policing its use.

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notes updated 1 min read

Pragmatism: meme version

AI summary

Doug discusses the concept of Pragmatism, highlighting its distinction from the more casual use of the term 'pragmatism', and draws an analogy with Stoicism. He encourages readers to learn about Pragmatism, also referencing Eudaimonia. Doug shares his thoughts alongside an image, which he notes has a charm due to a misspelled word.

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ideas updated 1 min read

5 ways to improve your folk software

AI summary

Doug suggests that individuals can achieve notable results with folk software by utilising five key approaches, including creating specific skills and using tools like batching and test-driven development. These methods enable users to build effective systems with Large Language Models (LLMs). By implementing these strategies, users can improve their overall folk software experience and create more efficient systems.

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notes updated 1 min read

Renewables are providing 112% of UK demand

AI summary

Doug notes that renewables are currently providing 112% of the UK's energy demand, with the excess being exported. According to the data, the UK's electricity generation mix is over 90% renewables, comprising wind, solar, and hydro power. This milestone suggests that the country could potentially run on renewables alone, were it not for the need to maintain gas power for stability purposes.

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ideas updated 1 min read

Adding creativity to artworks

AI summary

Doug discusses a creative example of a user, known as [@honear], who has added a smaller monochrome e-ink display to their colour e-ink canvas to mimic a museum display, providing information about the artwork being shown. This setup allows for a 'museum at home' experience, with a new artwork and accompanying information displayed twice a day. The user's integration pulls artwork from public-domain museums and generates summaries using AI when necessary.

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notes updated 1 min read

Business time

We're not making a big splash about it yet, but yesterday Tom and I met up to discuss FIELD STATION. Today we submitted documents to Companies House to incorporate.

In fact, yesterday was a strange day in that we finalised details for FIELD STATION, I had a bunch of admin to do for Dynamic Skillset, and I met up with Laura and John for the second-to-last WAO close-down meeting.

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reflections updated 1 min read

Forty-five

It's a bit of a coincidence that the main protagonist in both the last book I read and the current book I'm reading are both the same age as me. Our Man in Havana by Graham Greene was absolutely fantastic, and I'm enjoying the modern James Bond novel Solo by William Boyd so far.

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