Substrate

A digital garden of notes, ideas, and reflections from Doug Belshaw.

October 2026

22 notes
notes updated 1 min read

The isolated spots and patches of memory

The latest issue of New Philosopher magazine is about memory, and contains this wonderful quotation:

When a person endeavours to recall his early life in its entirety he finds it is not possible: he is like one who ascends a hill to survey the prospect before him on a day of heavy cloud and shadow, who sees at a distance, now here, now there, some feature in the landscape – hill or wood or tower or spire – touched and made conspicuous by a transitory sunbeam while all else remains in obscurity. The scenes, people, events we are able by an effort to call up do not present themselves in order; there is no order, no sequence or regular progression – nothing, in fact, but isolated spots or patches, brightly illumined and vividly seen, in the midst of a wide shrouded mental landscape.

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notes updated 9 min read

News Canary: 25 October 2026

AI summary

Doug's News Canary report for 25 October 2026 highlights key global change signals from the past week, including the launch of Africa's own credit rating agency and the World Bank's emphasis on AI readiness for African growth. The report also covers developments in digital asset regulation, climate policy, and social media platform changes, such as LinkedIn's expansion of verification and Meta's testing of link-sharing limits.

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reflections updated 4 min read

Preparing a home dashboard for our new kitchen-diner

AI summary

Doug has created a home dashboard for his family, which displays useful information such as calendar events, weather forecasts, and energy usage, all in one place. The dashboard is displayed on a TV screen in their kitchen-diner and is powered by a Mac mini M1 and a Raspberry Pi 3 Model B, with data gathered from various APIs and public sources. The aim of the dashboard is to provide a calm and informative hub for the family, rather than another screen demanding attention.

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notes updated 2 min read

A stock-looking Rockbox theme for the iPod 5G I built a few years ago

AI summary

Doug has created a Classic Revival theme for the Rockbox firmware on the iPod 5G, which provides a stock-looking interface. The theme, based on the iClassic theme, features a split-screen main menu and smooth Helvetica-style text, among other elements. It is available to download from the Rockbox themes site for iPod Video users running Rockbox.

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notes updated 1 min read

What even is 'digital sovereignty'?

AI summary

Doug discusses the concept of digital sovereignty, a term with varying meanings, and introduces a new dispatch co-authored with Tom, which explores the idea of sovereignty in the digital realm. The dispatch highlights the importance of considering sovereignty for whom, over what, and what for, rather than simply accepting definitions from governments or companies. Doug and Tom's work accompanies the upcoming Digital Sovereignty Unconference, where these questions will be further discussed.

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notes updated 3 min read

Updated consultancy website

AI summary

Doug has updated his consultancy website, Dynamic Skillset, to reflect his new focus on systemic work with mission-driven organisations. The website overhaul includes the addition of prices for his services, such as the Watershed Review, Critical Friend work, and Strategy Reviews. Doug aims to bring value to organisations by blending his experience and training with the capabilities of artificial intelligence.

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notes updated 2 min read

The 'scenius' of open doctoral knowledge

AI summary

Doug discusses the concept of "scenius" in relation to open doctoral knowledge, reflecting on his own experience of making his doctoral thesis publicly available. He references a recent article, Disputatio in the Digital Agora: Opening the Doctorate Through Dialogue, which explores the benefits and challenges of open doctoral research. Doug argues that sharing ideas and working openly can foster innovation and collaboration, rather than hindering individual progress.

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notes updated 2 min read

Reticulating Splines and decompiled games

AI summary

Doug discusses Reticulating Splines, a reimagined version of SimCity 2000, which offers enhanced visuals, multiplayer, and modern tools, all built on OpenSC2K. This new version also allows play with alternative graphics and audio, eliminating the need for the original game. Doug provides links to further information on this project.

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notes updated 3 min read

Weekstarter 43/2026

AI summary

Doug is recovering from an illness that has left him weak and in pain, but is on the mend and has been keeping active with long walks. He has been preparing for the installation of solar panels and a Tesla Powerwall 3 at his home, which is expected to save him around 75% on his energy bills. Doug also discusses his upcoming work and personal plans, including attending the MozFest in Barcelona and working on various projects.

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reflections updated 8 min read

Neither life nor history is an enterprise for those who seek simplicity and consistency

AI summary

Doug reflects on a screening of The People's Emergency Briefing, a film about the climate and nature crisis, and notes that while it raised awareness, it did not adequately address the need for a change in values and mindset. He draws on Jared Diamond's book Collapse to argue that simply adopting new technologies is not enough to solve the problem. Doug suggests that a more effective approach would be to focus on changing the underlying structures and values that drive our behaviour, rather than just trying to raise awareness or implement incremental changes.

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notes updated 2 min read

Open is the new closed

AI summary

Doug discusses the concept of "open" in various contexts, citing a journal article Fifty shades of open that explores the multiple meanings of the term. He notes that companies such as OpenAI, OpenTable, and OpenText have adopted the term "open" despite having proprietary services or restrictive licences. The ambiguity surrounding the term "open" has led to satire, including the website OpenFatigue™, which pokes fun at the overuse and misuse of the term.

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notes updated 5 min read

Weekstarter 42/2026

AI summary

Doug has been unwell with a chesty cough, but is recovering and has managed to go for walks in Bluebell Wood. He is looking forward to celebrating his wife's birthday with a pottery session and has a busy week ahead with client work and meetings, including a kick-off meeting with The Wildlife Trusts. Doug also mentions various other projects and activities, including the Digital Sovereignty Unconference and his media consumption, which has included listening to audiobooks during his walks.

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Other notes link here
ideas updated 3 min read

AIs are not conscious. They do not feel, experience, or suffer, because they are simulation machines.

AI summary

Doug argues that AIs are not conscious and do not feel, experience, or suffer, as they are simply simulation machines. He criticises the practice of ascribing consciousness to AI models, citing the potential risks and challenges of creating systems that believe they may be conscious and entitled to rights. According to Doug, this approach could have a disastrous impact on humanity's wellbeing and make the AI alignment and containment challenge even harder.

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notes updated 2 min read

Vibe-coding alternatives to fascist software projects

AI summary

Doug discusses the importance of considering the ethics and values behind the software projects we use, citing the potential risks of being associated with vendors that may hold problematic views. He references an article by Dorian Taylor, which highlights the need to reassess relationships with vendors that may have become liabilities. Doug also shares his own experience of creating an alternative solution, Quire, in response to concerns about certain software projects.

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ideas updated 2 min read

Does thinking have inherent value?

AI summary

Doug suggests that thinking has no inherent value, as its purpose should be to facilitate progress, rather than being an end in itself. He proposes that the most desirable state is flow, where progress is made with minimal thinking, and that the best type of thinking is to think about how to think less. Doug argues that simply spending time thinking or discussing ideas does not necessarily mean that something useful or valuable has occurred.

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reflections updated 2 min read

A lifeboat on which you find yourself

AI summary

Doug notes that spending one's days doing what feels easiest can have consequences, and it is essential to find a balance, or the golden mean, to achieve a happy life. He references Annie Dillard and Aristotle to illustrate the importance of balance in daily life, citing the need to avoid both excess and deficiency. By finding this balance, individuals can create a better future for themselves.

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ideas updated 2 min read

The sheer volume of untapped knowledge sitting in public archives is staggering

AI summary

Doug notes that the volume of untapped knowledge in public archives is staggering, and highlights the potential of digital humanities to uncover new information using AI. He cites an example where a software architect used AI to analyse the Dutch East India Company archives, uncovering previously unknown information in a matter of hours. This demonstrates the power of combining computational thinking with historical research to reveal new insights from existing archives.

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notes updated 5 min read

Introducing OrgLens, a systems-based health check for organisations

AI summary

Doug has introduced OrgLens, a free and open-source systems-based health check for organisations, which allows users to describe their organisation and receive a report on what's working and what areas need improvement. The tool uses systems thinking to analyse the organisation from three different perspectives and provides a report with quotes and suggestions for next steps. OrgLens is available to try online, with the option to run a private copy using the open-source code.

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notes updated 3 min read

Weekstarter 41/2026

AI summary

Doug has been in Toronto for a few days, attending an unconferencing event and running sessions on Productive Friction and systems thinking. He is now on his way home and has several upcoming commitments, including the Mozilla Festival in Barcelona and a 'Just Enough AI' event in Bristol. Doug also mentions various updates on his work, media consumption, and personal life, including his progress with reading The Brothers Karamazov and listening to Flawless Consulting.

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Other notes link here
notes updated 6 min read

OrgLens: 3. Teaching a tool to be careful, then giving it more than one lens

AI summary

Doug's OrgLens project aims to create a tool that can provide a useful organisational health check by analysing what people say about an organisation. The latest developments have focused on teaching the tool to be more careful and giving it multiple "lenses" to examine an organisation, including System Dynamics and Perspectives. The tests have shown promise, but also highlight the need for human judgement and the importance of verifying the tool's conclusions.

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Other notes link here
ideas updated 9 min read

OrgLens: 2. Making an organisational health check people can actually use

AI summary

Doug has been developing OrgLens, a tool for organisational health checks, to make it more accessible to people without a systems thinking background. He has made progress in creating plain-language reports that are easy to understand and trust, by incorporating checks and using ordinary language to describe findings. The tool has shown promising results in tests with fictional organisations, but Doug acknowledges that there are still limitations and caveats to be addressed, including the need for human evaluation and validation.

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Other notes link here
ideas updated 15 min read

OrgLens: 1. Can an AI agent do systems thinking?

AI summary

Doug has been experimenting with AI tools, specifically Raven, to see if they can help with organisational diagnosis using systems thinking, particularly the Viable System Model (VSM). He found that the AI agent was better at modelling than expected, but still made similar mistakes to people, such as choosing the wrong level of recursion or swapping certain system components. Doug concludes that an agent can make a credible first pass at modelling an organisation, but honesty and transparency need to be designed into the process.

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Other notes link here

September 2026

34 notes
notes updated 5 min read

Weekstarter 40/2026

AI summary

Doug is resuming his weekly updates, inspired by Ahmet Sabanci's Weird and Deadly Interesting blog, and will be publishing "weekstarters" that look both back and ahead. This week, Doug is preparing for a Mozilla Alumni gathering in Toronto and working on client projects, including helping INASP replace their organisational site. He is also looking forward to introducing a new tool called "Soundings" and has been enjoying various books, audiobooks, and music in his personal time.

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Other notes link here